Skip to main content
Giving
Home / Research Centers, Institutes, and Labs / Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics / Publications

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Join our Email List

The Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics works to improve methods for infectious disease modeling and statistical analysis, quantify disease and intervention impact, engage with policymakers to enhance decision-making, and train the next generation of scientists.

Location

677 Huntington Avenue
Kresge Building, Suite 506
Boston, MA 02115

Publications

Below is a list of the Center’s most recent publications. For a comprehensive list of each faculty member’s work, please visit their individual Catalyst profiles linked below.

Marc Lipsitch

Director of CCDD; Professor of Epidemiology
Marc Lipsitch

Bill Hanage

Assoc. Director of CCDD; Professor of Epidemiology
Bill Hanage

Caroline Buckee

Professor of Epidemiology
Caroline Buckee

Yonatan Grad

Professor of Immunology and Infectious Diseases
Yonatan Grad

Jeff Imai-Eaton

Associate Professor of Epidemiology
Jeff Imai-Eaton

Nicolas Alan Menzies

Associate Professor of Global Health
Nicolas Menzies

Megan Murray

Professor in the Department of Epidemiology
Megan Murray

Mauricio Santillana

Adjunct Professor of Epidemiology
Mauricio Santillana

Publications

Browse recent publications from the Center.

  • Nowcasting epidemic trends using hospital- and community-based virologic test data.

    Authors: Lim TY, Kanjilal S, Doron S, Penney JA, Haddix M, Koo TH, Danza P, Fisher R, Grad YH, Hay JA Journal: Nature communications Publish Date: 2025 Nov 19 Pages: :10138 DOI: doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-65237-6 PMID: 41258090

    Population viral loads measured by reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) cycle threshold (Ct) values are an alternative to…

  • A binary prototype for time-series surveillance and intervention.

    Authors: Olejarz J, Hoffmann T, Zapf A, Mugahid D, Molinaro R, Brown C, Boltyenkov A, Dudykevych T, Gupta A, Lipsitch M, Atun R, Onnela JP, Fortune S, Sampath R, Grad YH Journal: Epidemics Publish Date: 2025 Nov 11 Pages: :100866 DOI: doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2025.100866 Publication Status: Online ahead of print PMID: 41242306

    Despite much research on early detection of anomalies from surveillance data, a systematic framework for appropriately acting on these signals…

  • Fast approximate Bayesian inference of HIV indicators using PCA adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature.

    Authors: Howes A, Stringer A, Flaxman SR, Imai-Eaton JW Journal: Journal of theoretical biology Publish Date: 2025 Nov 11 Pages: :112290 DOI: doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2025.112290 PMID: 41232599

    Naomi is a spatial evidence synthesis model used to produce district-level HIV epidemic indicators in sub-Saharan Africa. Multiple outcomes of…

  • Pregnancy reporting and biases in under-five mortality in three African HDSSs.

    Authors: Eilerts-Spinelli H, Romero-Prieto JE, Herbst K, Gareta D, Jasseh M, Khagayi S, Obor D, Imai-Eaton JW, Reniers G Journal: Population studies Publish Date: 2025 Nov 12 Pages: :1-23 DOI: doi: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2573925 PMID: 41221637

    In the absence of complete civil registration and vital statistics, Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems (HDSSs) are important sources of…

  • Identifying malaria elimination strategies in the presence of human movement in Bangladesh.

    Authors: Mahmud AS, Chang MC, Citron DT, Engø-Monsen K, Sayeed AA, Zaman SI, Uddin D, Rahman MM, Rahaman M, Islam MN, Maude RJ, Buckee CO, Chang HH Journal: Communications medicine Publish Date: 2025 Nov 7 Pages: :461 DOI: doi: 10.1038/s43856-025-01145-6 PMID: 41203884

    Malaria transmission in the Chittagong Hill Tracts (CHT) districts in Bangladesh is characterized by considerable heterogeneity in incidence and the…

  • Drug-resistant tuberculosis: a priority pathogen for enhanced public health research and practice.

    Authors: Yapa HM, MacLean EL-H, Menzies NA, Dodd PJ, Dean A, Mirzayev F, Schumacher SG, Nguyen LN, Zignol M, Fox GJ Journal: Clinical microbiology reviews Publish Date: 2025 Nov 4 Pages: :e0006425 DOI: doi: 10.1128/cmr.00064-25 PMID: 41186421

    SUMMARYDrug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) causes substantial morbidity and mortality and has hindered progress toward TB elimination. This slowed progress toward the…

  • Calibration of transmission-dynamic infectious disease models: A scoping review and reporting framework.

    Authors: Dankwa EA, Cavalli L, Balasubramanian R, Can MH, Cui H, Jia KM, Li Y, Ofori SK, Swartwood NA, Wade CG, Buckee CO, Imai-Eaton JW, Menzies NA Journal: PLoS computational biology Publish Date: 2025 Nov 4 Pages: :e1013647 DOI: doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013647 PMID: 41187204

    Transmission-dynamic models are commonly used to study infectious disease epidemiology. Calibration involves identifying model parameter values that align model outputs…

  • Responding to rising heat in workplaces and homes of low income workers.

    Authors: Meade RD, González-Casabianca F, Rawal R, Venugopal V, Isaac T, Shaikh A, Wiskel T, Asrani S, Gadhvi D, Huybers PJ, Leaning J, Khanna T, Schrag DP, Buckee CO, Balsari S Journal: BMJ (Clinical research ed.) Publish Date: 2025 Nov 4 Pages: :e086218 DOI: doi: 10.1136/bmj-2025-086218 PMID: 41188018

  • How Should We Study the Indirect Effects of Antimicrobial Treatment Strategies?: A Causal Perspective.

    Authors: Gago J, Boyer C, Lipsitch M Journal: Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) Publish Date: 2025 Oct 28 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001921 PMID: 41176807

    Effective antimicrobial stewardship requires unbiased assessment of the benefits and harms of different treatment strategies, considering both immediate patient outcomes…

  • HIV incidence and prevalence among adults in Mozambique: estimates from the Population-based HIV Impact Assessment Survey (INSIDA 2021) and district-level modelling.

    Authors: Gudo ES, McCabe KC, Fazito E, Catano D, Tiberi O, Boothe M, McOwen J, Imai-Eaton JW, Stevens O, Manembe L, El-Sadr WM Journal: Journal of the International AIDS Society Publish Date: 2025 Nov Pages: :e70008 DOI: doi: 10.1002/jia2.70008 PMID: 41152562

    Accurate information is needed to prioritize programmes and resources that address gaps in the HIV response. We examined findings from…

Unleash your potential at Harvard Chan School.

In addition to our degree programs, we offer highly targeted executive and continuing education, directed and taught by Harvard faculty.

Degree Programs
How to Apply
Executive and Continuing Education