Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics
The Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics works to improve methods for infectious disease modeling and statistical analysis, quantify disease and intervention impact, engage with policymakers to enhance decision-making, and train the next generation of scientists.
677 Huntington Avenue
Kresge Building, Suite 506
Boston, MA 02115
Publications
Below is a list of the Center’s most recent publications. For a comprehensive list of each faculty member’s work, please visit their individual Catalyst profiles linked below.
Marc Lipsitch
Director of CCDD; Professor of Epidemiology
Bill Hanage
Assoc. Director of CCDD; Professor of EpidemiologyCaroline Buckee
Professor of EpidemiologyYonatan Grad
Professor of Immunology and Infectious Diseases
Jeff Imai-Eaton
Associate Professor of Epidemiology
Nicolas Alan Menzies
Associate Professor of Global Health
Megan Murray
Professor in the Department of Epidemiology
Mauricio Santillana
Adjunct Professor of Epidemiology
Publications
Browse recent publications from the Center.
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Changes in child mortality and population health following 10 years of health systems strengthening in rural Madagascar: A longitudinal cohort study.
Authors: Garchitorena A, Miller AC, Razanadranaivo HL, Rakotonirina L, Barriault SA, Razafinjato B, Kotchofa JA, Rafenoarimalala F, Rakotonanahary RJL, Ihantamalala FA, Evans MV, Tolojananahary AT, Ramanandraitsiory V, Tsitinomen'nyaina A, Ralaivavikoa FA, Raza-Fanomezanjanahary EM, Randriamanambintsoa M, Andrianambinina S, Yasmine LL, Murray MB, Rich ML, Cordier LF, Finnegan KE, Bonds MH, Randriamanantany ZA Journal: PLoS medicine Publish Date: 2025 Oct Pages: :e1004549 DOI: doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004549 PMID: 41056272Reducing child mortality rates is a unifying goal of the global health and international development communities. In Africa, unambiguous empirical…
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Evolution of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transcription regulation is associated with increased transmission and drug resistance.
Authors: Culviner PH, Frey AM, Liu Q, Ha DTM, Thai PVK, Thu DDA, Quang NL, Calderon R, Lecca L, Caws M, Dunstan SJ, Murray MB, Thuong NTT, Fortune SM Journal: Cell Publish Date: 2025 Sep 30 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2025.09.005 PMID: 41033311Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) has co-evolved with humans for thousands of years and is characterized by variation in virulence, transmissibility, and…
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Strategies to Improve PrEP Adherence in People Who Use Drugs: A Systematic Review.
Authors: Briggs J, Chiosi J, Papineni S, Murray M Journal: AIDS and behavior Publish Date: 2025 Sep 29 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1007/s10461-025-04876-8 PMID: 41016995People who use drugs (PWUD) face a disproportionately high risk of HIV, accounting for a considerable share of cases in…
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Equity considerations in COVID-19 vaccine allocation modelling: a methodological study.
Authors: Rumpler E, Lipsitch M Journal: Interface focus Publish Date: 2025 Sep 26 Pages: :20240037 DOI: doi: 10.1098/rsfs.2024.0037 PMID: 41017906We conducted a methodological study of COVID-19 vaccine allocation modelling papers, specifically looking for publications that considered equity. We found…
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Insurance Dynamics During Childhood in the Fragmented US Health System.
Authors: Shen Y, Sommers BD, Hatfield LA, Hayes C, Pandya A, Menzies NA Journal: JAMA Publish Date: 2025 Sep 24 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1001/jama.2025.15488 Publication Status: Online ahead of print PMID: 40991296US children’s health insurance is fragmented across public and private sources, with wide state variation. However, the extent of children’s…
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The Role of Youths in Within-Household Tuberculosis Transmission: A Household Contact Cohort Study.
Authors: Brooks MB, Lecca L, Becerra MC, Calderon RI, Contreras CC, Jimenez J, Yataco RM, Zhang Z, Murray MB, Huang CC Journal: Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America Publish Date: 2025 Sep 24 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaf490 Publication Status: Online ahead of print PMID: 40990486Youth aged 15-24 years are significantly impacted by tuberculosis globally. Their expanding social networks heighten exposure risks, potentially amplifying tuberculosis…
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The Effectiveness of Isoniazid Preventive Treatment among Contacts of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Systematic Review and Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis.
Authors: Martinez L, Campbell JI, Linde L, Boulahbal F, Cayla JA, Chakhaia T, Chan PC, Chen C, Fang CT, Fox G, Grandjean L, Hannoun D, Hesseling A, Horsburgh CR, Huang LM, Liu Q, Mazahir R, Lee CH, Lee LN, Bennet R, Nejat S, Gupta A, Das M, Murray M, Huang CC, Del Corral H, Benjumea-Bedoya D, Shen Y, Becerra M, Chang V, Krishnan S, Heinmueller P, Brewer T, Isaakidis P, Hauri AM, Shah L, Trieu L, Seddon JA Journal: American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine Publish Date: 2025 Sep 23 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1164/rccm.202411-2340OC Publication Status: Online ahead of print PMID: 40986702Recent empirical research suggests isoniazid may lead to a risk reduction of incident tuberculosis among close tuberculosis contacts of multi-drug…
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Should neighbours of tuberculosis (TB) cases be prioritised for active case finding in high TB-burden settings? A prospective molecular epidemiological study.
Authors: Koesoemadinata RC, McAllister S, Huang CC, Hartati S, Djunaedy H, Dewi NF, Chaidir L, Lestari BW, Hadisoemarto PF, Van Crevel R, Murray MB, Alisjahbana B, Hill PC Journal: BMJ global health Publish Date: 2025 Sep 22 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2025-019137 Publication Status: Published electronically PMID: 40987488In high tuberculosis (TB)-burden countries, considerable transmission of () likely occurs outside of households. We aimed to estimate the TB…
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The Potential Effect of Ending CDC Funding for HIV Tests: A Modeling Study in 18 States.
Authors: Balasubramanian R, Schnure M, Forster R, Hanage WP, Batey DS, Althoff KN, Gebo KA, Dowdy DW, Shah M, Kasaie P, Fojo AT Journal: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences Publish Date: 2025 Sep 21 Pages: DOI: doi: 10.1101/2025.09.19.25336182 PMID: 41001495Timely HIV diagnosis and treatment is critical to preventing transmission. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) provides…
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Characterizing population-level changes in human behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.
Authors: Urmi T, Pant B, Dewey G, Quintana-Mathe A, Lang I, Druckman J, Ognyanova K, Baum M, Perlis R, Riedl C, Lazer D, Santillana M Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Publish Date: 2025 Sep 16 Pages: :e2500655122 DOI: doi: 10.1073/pnas.2500655122 PMID: 40932771The transmission of communicable diseases in human populations is known to be modulated by behavioral patterns. However, detailed characterizations of…
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