Recent declines in HIV incidence among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in Africa are often attributed to the expansion of biomedical interventions such as antiretroviral therapy and voluntary medical male circumcision. However, changes in sexual behaviour may also play a critical role. Understanding the relative contributions of these factors is essential for developing strategies to sustain and further reduce HIV transmission.

Genetic discontinuity represents abrupt breaks in genomic identity among species. Advances in genome sequencing have enhanced our ability to track and characterize genetic discontinuity in bacterial populations. However, exploring the degree to which bacterial diversity exists as a continuum or sorted into discrete and readily defined species remains a challenge in microbial ecology. Here, we aim to quantify the genetic discontinuity ( ) and investigate how this metric is related to ecology.

Digital data sources such as mobile phone call detail records (CDRs) are increasingly being used to estimate population mobility fluxes and to predict the spatiotemporal dynamics of infectious disease outbreaks. Differences in mobile phone operators’ geographic coverage, however, may result in biased mobility estimates.

Timely diagnostic tools are needed to improve antibiotic treatment. Pairing metagenomic sequencing with genomic neighbor typing algorithms may support rapid clinically actionable results. We created resistance-associated sequence elements (RASE) databases for and . and used them to predict antibiotic susceptibility in directly sequenced (Oxford Nanopore) urine specimens from critically ill patients. RASE analysis was performed on pathogen-specific reads from metagenomic sequencing. We evaluated the ability to predict (i) multi-locus sequence type (MLST) and (ii) susceptibility profiles. We used neighbor typing to predict MLST and susceptibility phenotype of (64/80) and . (16/80) from urine samples. When optimized by lineage score, MLST predictions were concordant for 73% of samples. Similarly, a RASE-susceptible prediction for a given isolate was associated with a specificity and a positive likelihood ratio (LR+) for susceptibility of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.54-0.76) and 2.26 (95% CI, 1.75-2.92), respectively, with an increase in the probability of susceptibility of 10%. A RASE-non-susceptible prediction was associated with a sensitivity and a negative likelihood ratio (LR-) for susceptibility of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74-0.84) and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.24-0.43) respectively, with a decrease in the probability of susceptibility of 20%. Numerous antibiotic classes could reasonably be reconsidered empiric therapy by shifting empiric probabilities of susceptibility across relevant treatment thresholds. Moreover, these predictions can be available within 6 h. Metagenomic sequencing of urine specimens with neighbor typing provides rapid and informative predictions of lineage and antibiotic susceptibility with the potential to impact clinical decision-making.

Rapid digitalization of health care and a dearth of digital health education for medical students and junior physicians worldwide means there is an imperative for more training in this dynamic and evolving field.